The roll-up lens — proving the thesis deal by deal, and surfacing the integration drag that holds margin back.
The roll-up thesis is working — +$24M of EBITDA captured and 74% of synergy banked — but 4 in-flight businesses ($165M revenue) still hold margin back. Finish their cutover to close the gap to 100% synergy, the highest-return work in the company.
4 of 4 headline metrics improving vs prior · still off target: M&A Synergy Realization 78.0% vs 100.0%, Adj. EBITDA Margin 14.8% vs 16.0%, DSO (Days Sales Outstanding) 54d vs 48d
Avg synergy is only 74% of plan banked; the unrealized balance is EBITDA already underwritten but not yet captured.
Signet is the weakest cohort on synergy capture; a 90-day savings plan on the gap is unrealized EBITDA.
Move to credit hold pending paydown; reforecast ARR net of likely churn.
Distress filings + overdue AR; churn risk High on $6.4M account.
Gates the cohort cutover (and the exit).
Pavion is built by acquisition. This view shows, for each business bought, what we paid for vs what it earns now — and flags the ones still mid-integration where ~+$21M of profit, faster cash and lower churn are still on the table.
Finishing the 4 in-flight businesses (RFI Enterprises, ISC, ECD Systems, Signet) closes the gap to 100% — the single highest-return work in the company.
Each card: what changed since purchase, how far integration has gone, and the next move.
Each cohort ranked within the set on five KPIs (direction per metric), then a composite Overall Rank from summed rank points — the dashboard's RANKX leaderboard. Top & bottom highlighted.
| Overall | Unit | Revenue↑ better | EBITDA %↑ better | ARR↑ better | Synergy %↑ better | DSO gain↑ better | Rank pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFA Protective Systems | $96M#1 | 16%#1 | $52M#1 | 88%#3 | 12d#2 | 8 |
| 2 | Firecom | $34M#5 | 14%#2 | $12M#5 | 92%#1 | 13d#1 | 14 |
| 3 | RFI Enterprises | $58M#2 | 13%#3 | $19M#2 | 74%#5 | 9d#5 | 17 |
| 4 | DavEd Fire Systems | $22M#7 | 13%#3 | $8M#7 | 90%#2 | 12d#2 | 21 |
| 4 | ECD Systems | $37M#4 | 12%#5 | $13M#4 | 78%#4 | 11d#4 | 21 |
| 6 | ISC | $41M#3 | 11%#6 | $14M#3 | 55%#6 | 6d#6 | 24 |
| 7 | Signet | $29M#6 | 9%#7 | $9M#6 | 40%#7 | 3d#7 | 33 |
Higher EBITDA %, revenue, ARR and synergy rank better; DSO gain = days of receivables improvement since acquisition (more = better). Composite rank points are the sum of the five per-KPI ranks (lower = better).
As-acquired → current across EBITDA, DSO, integration and synergy.
| Brand | Yr | Revenue | ARR | EBITDA % | DSO | Integrated | Synergy | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firecom | 2021 | $34M | $12M | 9→14 | 71→58d | 100% | 92% | Integrated |
| DavEd Fire Systems | 2021 | $22M | $8M | 8→13 | 66→54d | 100% | 90% | Integrated |
| AFA Protective Systems | 2022 | $96M | $52M | 11→16 | 68→56d | 95% | 88% | Integrated |
| RFI Enterprises | 2023 | $58M | $19M | 10→13 | 70→61d | 82% | 74% | In progress |
| Integrated Security & Comms (ISC) | 2024 | $41M | $14M | 9→11 | 73→67d | 60% | 55% | In progress |
| ECD Systems | 2024 | $37M | $13M | 9→12 | 71→60d | 80% | 78% | In progress |
| Signet | 2024 | $29M | $9M | 8→9 | 69→66d | 45% | 40% | Early |